CNXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNXN - PC Connection Inc
$70.73
-0.41 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
-3.48%
30d:
+10.09%
90d:
+21.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.90
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNXN is currently trading at $70.73, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.92 to $72.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$64.92 -
$72.08
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.92 -
$72.08
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.18
Resistance Level
$75.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.70
Wall Street Target
$76.00
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.92
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$75.18
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$77.51
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$70.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.9%)
$115.87
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 7.9%)
$88.85
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 7.9%)
$75.52
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case
$97.49
(+38%)
Analyst growth 23.1%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$88.63
(+25%)
Market implied 23.1%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$48.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 4:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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