PC Connection (CNXN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNXN - PC Connection Inc
$91.68
-3.54 (-3.72%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.33%
30d:
+7.61%
90d:
+17.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
19d
Get Alerted When CNXN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNXN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNXN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.04
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNXN is currently trading at $91.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.47 to $92.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.5) compared to its historical average (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: CNXN scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: CNXN scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$85.47 -
$92.45
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
30.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (16/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($83.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.5% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.47 -
$92.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.20
Resistance Level
$96.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.53
Wall Street Target
$83.00
(-9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.5% premium
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 16.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.56
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$105.95
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$113.89
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$91.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: 6.9%)
$112.14
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$108.47
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 6.9%)
$90.12
(-2%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.78
Bull Case
$123.72
(+35%)
Analyst growth 18.1%, PE expands to 27.7
Base Case
$112.48
(+23%)
Market implied 18.1%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case
$64.75
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 15, 2026 4:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CNXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Electronics & Computer Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Electronics & Computer Distribution by analyst ratings.