CNXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNXN - PC Connection Inc
$81.08
0.11 (0.14%)
â˛
5d:
-3.64%
30d:
+3.5%
90d:
+26.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNXN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNXN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.54
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNXN is currently trading at $81.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.94 to $84.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNXN scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNXN scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$77.94 -
$84.16
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($83.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.94 -
$84.16
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.81
Resistance Level
$88.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.16
Wall Street Target
$83.00
(+2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.73
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$88.54
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$92.53
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â16)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.9%)
$110.49
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 6.9%)
$99.18
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$84.30
(+4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$104.38
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$94.89
(+17%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$55.06
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 2:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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