EDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDN - Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)
$24.30
0.27 (1.12%)
▲
5d:
-11.31%
30d:
-1.5%
90d:
-15.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EDN is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EDN is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.85
71.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDN is currently trading at $24.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.67 to $27.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (104.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 56.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 147.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+54.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+54.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.67 -
$27.69
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.0% below Wall St target ($37.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.67 -
$27.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.48
Resistance Level
$29.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.46
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+54.0%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
147.5%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-56.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 104.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-56.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.63
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.46
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.52
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→105)
$216.77
(+802%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1036.0%)
$208.76
(+769%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 1036.0%)
$81.10
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 1036.0%)
$68.94
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.73
Bull Case
$16.48
(-31%)
Analyst growth -40.0%, PE expands to 5.8
Base Case
$14.98
(-38%)
Market implied -40.0%, PE stable at 5.3
Bear Case
$16.97
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 104.7
Stabilization Target:
$297.35
(+1137.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1137.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 12:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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