EDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDN - Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)
$18.91
0.34 (1.83%)
▲
5d:
-7.35%
30d:
-14.05%
90d:
-27.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EDN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EDN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.54
19.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDN is currently trading at $18.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.42 to $22.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.12, while resistance sits at $21.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+103.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.12, while resistance sits at $21.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+103.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.42 -
$22.61
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 103.6% below Wall St target ($38.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.42 -
$22.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.12
Resistance Level
$21.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.89
Wall Street Target
$38.50
(+103.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.8%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.74
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.57
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$18.40
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$18.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 698.5%)
$91.26
(+383%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 698.5%)
$63.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 698.5%)
$54.25
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.21
Bull Case
$10.21
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 4.9
Base Case
$9.28
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 4.4
Bear Case
$12.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$19.47
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 9:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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