Exponent (EXPO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPO - Exponent Inc
$71.85
-0.43 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
+2.92%
30d:
+5.37%
90d:
+14.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.81
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPO is currently trading at $71.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.76 to $70.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.4) is in line with its historical norms (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$65.76 -
$70.35
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.76 -
$70.35
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.92
Resistance Level
$73.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.41
Wall Street Target
$84.00
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
26.4 vs 25.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.57
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$73.29
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$74.03
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.4, Growth: 12.9%)
$103.39
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$77.75
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$66.08
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.23
Bull Case
$96.99
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.0%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$88.18
(+23%)
Market implied 22.0%, PE stable at 32.4
Bear Case
$49.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 18, 2026 2:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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