EXPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPO - Exponent Inc
$69.99
2.48 (3.67%)
▲
5d:
+3.47%
30d:
+15.38%
90d:
+22.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 19, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.79
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPO is currently trading at $69.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.39 to $67.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.8) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $70.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+24.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $70.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+24.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$62.39 -
$67.90
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.4% below Wall St target ($84.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.39 -
$67.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.26
Resistance Level
$70.28
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 19, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.77
Wall Street Target
$84.00
(+24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.62
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$63.78
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$62.00
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→26)
$67.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 13.1%)
$97.59
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$82.57
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$70.18
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.20
Bull Case
$94.00
(+39%)
Analyst growth 29.1%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$85.46
(+27%)
Market implied 29.1%, PE stable at 30.1
Bear Case
$45.01
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.8 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$73.57
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 19, 2026 2:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3909 shares
2026-04-15
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3912 shares
2026-03-16
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