Jabil (JBL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBL - Jabil Inc.
$306.28
7.12 (2.38%)
â˛
5d:
+0.61%
30d:
+1.15%
90d:
-4.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 30, 2026 at $286.86 · last confirmed Oct 7, 2026
Strength: 6.3/10
Get Alerted When JBL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JBL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JBL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$584.04
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$362.65
15.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $306.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $297.33 to $312.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (20.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 89.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $284.39, while resistance sits at $328.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $425.00 (+38.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $284.39, while resistance sits at $328.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $425.00 (+38.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$297.33 -
$312.65
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JBL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.8% below Wall St target ($425.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$297.33 -
$312.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$284.39
Resistance Level
$328.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.46
Wall Street Target
$425.00
(+38.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 20.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$280.55
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$256.99
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$235.40
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â20)
$306.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$552.29
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 12.0%)
$429.96
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$365.47
(+19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.44
Bull Case
$658.83
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$598.94
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.7
Bear Case
$203.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 20.1
Stabilization Target:
$398.17
(+30.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 09, 2026 5:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Priestley
SELL
3169 shares
2026-04-20
Steven D Borges
SELL
5126 shares
2026-04-17
May Yee Yap
SELL
1634 shares
2026-04-16
Top Rated Electronic Components Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Electronic Components by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CLS
Celestica Inc. |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$474 | 54 HOLD |
|
APH
Amphenol Corporation |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$100 | 47 HOLD |
|
GLW
Corning Incorporated |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$187 | 60 HOLD |
|
TEL
TE Connectivity Ltd |
BUY
19 analysts |
$249 | 58 HOLD |
|
FLEX
Flex Ltd |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$161 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced JBL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBL price and gamma walls.
