JBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBL - Jabil Inc.
$376.89
24.53 (6.96%)
▲
5d:
+0.82%
30d:
+7.44%
90d:
+49.48%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 17, 2026
5d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JBL trades at premium valuation expecting 8.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: JBL trades at premium valuation expecting 8.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$502.61
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$312.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $376.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $345.21 to $371.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.8) compared to its historical average (20.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $384.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $328.22. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $384.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $328.22. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$345.21 -
$371.43
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
13th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JBL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.9% above Wall St target ($328.22)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$345.21 -
$371.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$34.48
(9.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$341.47
Resistance Level
$384.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.83
Wall Street Target
$328.22
(-12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.2%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.1% premium
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 20.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$407.42
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$440.42
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$476.09
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$377.84
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 18.1%)
$620.36
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 18.1%)
$526.43
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 18.1%)
$447.47
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.43
Bull Case
$782.79
(+122%)
Analyst growth 96.4%, PE expands to 53.7
Base Case
$711.62
(+102%)
Market implied 96.4%, PE stable at 48.8
Bear Case
$246.42
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 11, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Priestley
SELL
3169 shares
2026-04-20
Steven D Borges
SELL
5126 shares
2026-04-17
May Yee Yap
SELL
1634 shares
2026-04-16
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Advanced JBL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBL price and gamma walls.
