Is META stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, META is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: META shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of META stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for META to be between $681.83 and $748.93. The current price is $642.62.

What is the analyst price target for META?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for META is $843.48. This implies a potential upside of 31.3% from current levels.

Meta Platforms (META) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

META - Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$642.62

-6.23 (-0.96%) ▼

5d: -9.4%

30d: -17.36%

90d: +8.21%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your META Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 21, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $729.00 · last confirmed Oct 23, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: META shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 16.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$1039.60

Based on 10.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$645.51

0.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: META is currently trading at $642.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $681.83 to $748.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, META is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $633.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: META scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $843.48 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $681.83 - $748.93

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 31.3% below Wall St target ($843.48)
WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $681.83 - $748.93

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $633.27

Resistance Level $771.27

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.94

Wall Street Target $843.48 (+31.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 28.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -13.4%

Profit Margin 29.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 18.9 vs 19.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $641.33 (0%)

2-Year Target $640.05 (0%)

3-Year Target $638.77 (-1%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→19) $644.04 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.0%) $1052.08 (+64%)

Base: (SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 16.0%) $1003.54 (+56%)

Bear: (PE: 16.1, Growth: 16.0%) $853.01 (+33%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 22.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $29.31

Bull Case $826.06 (+29%)

Analyst growth 15.7%, PE expands to 24.4

Base Case $750.96 (+17%)

Market implied 15.7%, PE stable at 22.1

Bear Case $441.22 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.9 to 19.1

Stabilization Target: $647.92 (+0.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +0.8%

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Last updated: October 24, 2026 12:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced META Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's META price and gamma walls.

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