TFI International (TFII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFII - TFI International Inc.
$93.32
-19.22 (-17.08%)
▼
5d:
-17.05%
30d:
-22.59%
90d:
-30.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When TFII Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TFII is down 17.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TFII is down 17.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$287.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.55
47.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFII is currently trading at $93.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.17 to $120.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TFII scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $157.64 (+68.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TFII scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $157.64 (+68.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$109.17 -
$120.56
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-17.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.9% below Wall St target ($157.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.17 -
$120.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.84
Resistance Level
$116.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.94
Wall Street Target
$157.64
(+68.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.99
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$75.59
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$68.03
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→19)
$107.65
(+15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.0%)
$356.63
(+282%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 32.0%)
$214.49
(+130%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 32.0%)
$182.31
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.08
Bull Case
$237.06
(+154%)
Analyst growth 91.5%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$215.51
(+131%)
Market implied 91.5%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$76.53
(-18%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$147.66
(+58.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+58.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 01, 2026 8:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TFII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Trucking Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Trucking by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XPO
XPO Logistics Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$223 | 56 HOLD |
|
KNX
Knight Transportation Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$86 | 48 HOLD |
|
SAIA
Saia Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$416 | 55 HOLD |
|
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Lin… |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$214 | 36 SELL |
|
ARCB
ArcBest Corp |
BUY
14 analysts |
$167 | 38 SELL |
