TFII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFII - TFI International Inc.
$128.97
1.14 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
-4.63%
30d:
-8.94%
90d:
-18.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TFII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TFII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$302.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$188.07
31.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFII is currently trading at $128.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.70 to $144.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (19.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $126.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TFII scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $174.08 (+36.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $126.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TFII scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $174.08 (+36.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$133.70 -
$144.15
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.2% below Wall St target ($174.08)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$133.70 -
$144.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.50
Resistance Level
$141.71
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.19
Wall Street Target
$174.08
(+36.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 19.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.65
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$111.99
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$104.82
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$127.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 31.9%)
$364.08
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 31.9%)
$293.27
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 31.9%)
$249.28
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.09
Bull Case
$284.94
(+121%)
Analyst growth 93.0%, PE expands to 36.1
Base Case
$259.04
(+101%)
Market implied 93.0%, PE stable at 32.8
Bear Case
$91.25
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 19.7
Stabilization Target:
$155.54
(+21.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 8:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TFII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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