Carpenter Technology (CRS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRS - Carpenter Technology Corp
$290.96
7.88 (2.78%)
▲
5d:
+0.51%
30d:
-25.1%
90d:
-48.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$590.10
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$366.40
20.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRS is currently trading at $290.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $313.43 to $401.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.5) compared to its historical average (35.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $273.44, while resistance sits at $379.60.
Market Sentiment: CRS scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $438.00 (+50.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $273.44, while resistance sits at $379.60.
Market Sentiment: CRS scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $438.00 (+50.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$313.43 -
$401.74
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.5% below Wall St target ($438.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$313.43 -
$401.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$273.45
Resistance Level
$379.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.53
Wall Street Target
$438.00
(+50.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Profit Margin
17.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 35.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$261.86
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$235.68
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$212.11
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→35)
$330.43
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 22.0%)
$528.64
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.0%)
$465.97
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 22.0%)
$396.07
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.34
Bull Case
$354.60
(+22%)
Analyst growth 13.9%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case
$322.36
(+11%)
Market implied 13.9%, PE stable at 25.0
Bear Case
$192.49
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.5 to 35.1
Stabilization Target:
$453.26
(+55.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 02, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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