CNR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNR - Core Natural Resources, Inc.

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING
$83.85
1.98 (2.42%) ▲
5d: +3.74%
30d: -8.14%
90d: -8.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 20d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.01
8.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNR is currently trading at $83.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.34 to $90.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $80.72, while resistance sits at $96.25.

Market Sentiment: CNR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.25 (+25.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $79.34 - $90.40
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 3th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 89.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.5% below Wall St target ($105.25)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with 6.6% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $79.34 - $90.40
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$5.48 (6.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $80.72
Resistance Level $96.26
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.45
Wall Street Target $105.25 (+25.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -81.1%
Profit Margin -1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.3% premium
PE vs Historical 12.5 vs 11.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $86.62 (+3%)
2-Year Target $89.48 (+7%)
3-Year Target $92.43 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→11) PE COMPRESSION $83.88 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 135.2%) $494.98 (+490%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 135.2%) $282.99 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 10.6, Growth: 135.2%) $240.54 (+187%)
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:22 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James A Brock SELL 40760 shares 2026-03-18
John Rothka SELL 1000 shares 2026-03-17
John Rothka SELL 3800 shares 2026-03-10

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