Is DIS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, DIS is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DIS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of DIS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for DIS to be between $95.74 and $103.72. The current price is $106.93.

What is the analyst price target for DIS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for DIS is $127.72. This implies a potential upside of 19.4% from current levels.

DIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DIS - The Walt Disney Company

SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION

$106.93

2.98 (2.87%) ▲

5d: +3.59%

30d: +11.22%

90d: +4.54%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your DIS Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 19, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $104.91 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 7.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DIS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 8.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$141.12

Based on 6.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$87.62

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DIS is currently trading at $106.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.74 to $103.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $107.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: DIS scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.72 (+19.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $95.74 - $103.72

Company Quality Score 40/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 29.5%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($127.72)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 6.8% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $95.74 - $103.72

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $102.03

Resistance Level $107.11

Current Trend Sideways

Technical data as of Aug 19, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.39

Wall Street Target $127.72 (+19.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -48.3%

Profit Margin 8.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium

PE vs Historical 14.4 vs 14.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $107.36 (+0%)

2-Year Target $107.79 (+1%)

3-Year Target $108.22 (+1%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) PE COMPRESSION $106.77 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.0%) $187.85 (+76%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 8.0%) $134.71 (+26%)

Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 8.0%) $114.50 (+7%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 21.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.88

Bull Case $174.08 (+63%)

Analyst growth 52.2%, PE expands to 23.4

Base Case $158.26 (+48%)

Market implied 52.2%, PE stable at 21.3

Bear Case $70.69 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 19, 2026 9:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-24

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