DIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DIS - The Walt Disney Company
$103.89
3.03 (3.00%)
▲
5d:
+3.54%
30d:
+1.56%
90d:
+4.73%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DIS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DIS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.26
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIS is currently trading at $103.89, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.07 to $104.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $105.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DIS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.67 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $105.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DIS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.67 (+24.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$100.07 -
$104.31
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($129.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.07 -
$104.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.41
Resistance Level
$105.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.86
Wall Street Target
$129.67
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.8%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.23
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$100.59
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$98.98
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$103.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$215.81
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 9.7%)
$137.31
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$116.72
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.25
Bull Case
$133.08
(+28%)
Analyst growth 19.9%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$120.98
(+17%)
Market implied 19.9%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$68.58
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$108.70
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 9:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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