CNK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$37.24
-0.71 (-1.87%)
▼
5d:
+1.78%
30d:
+25.77%
90d:
+35.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.55
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $37.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.73 to $35.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.65, while resistance sits at $38.98.
Market Sentiment: CNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.65, while resistance sits at $38.98.
Market Sentiment: CNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$29.73 -
$35.81
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.36)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.73 -
$35.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.65
Resistance Level
$38.98
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.09
Wall Street Target
$39.36
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
88.6%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 12.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.14
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$41.14
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$43.23
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.6%)
$76.32
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 12.6%)
$53.16
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 12.6%)
$45.19
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case
$61.29
(+65%)
Analyst growth 46.8%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$55.72
(+50%)
Market implied 46.8%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$25.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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