PD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PD - PagerDuty, Inc.
$9.09
0.53 (6.19%)
▲
5d:
+7.19%
30d:
+26.43%
90d:
+44.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.25
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PD is currently trading at $9.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.50 to $9.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.10, while resistance sits at $10.70. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.10, while resistance sits at $10.70. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$7.50 -
$9.52
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.50 -
$9.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.10
Resistance Level
$10.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.61
Wall Street Target
$9.14
(+0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
38.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.94
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$8.78
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$8.63
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$9.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.2%)
$31.18
(+243%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 6.2%)
$10.90
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 6.2%)
$9.26
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$5.43
(-40%)
Analyst growth -42.3%, PE expands to 4.6
Base Case
$4.94
(-46%)
Market implied -42.3%, PE stable at 4.1
Bear Case
$5.82
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$9.56
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 29, 2026 8:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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