ADSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADSK - Autodesk Inc
$212.22
3.77 (1.81%)
▲
5d:
+2.25%
30d:
-4.09%
90d:
-2.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
Get Alerted When ADSK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
2 traders called ADSK this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADSK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.2% annual earnings decline despite 231% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADSK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.2% annual earnings decline despite 231% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$391.68
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$243.20
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADSK is currently trading at $212.22, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $192.31 to $217.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 231.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADSK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $215.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ADSK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $318.53 (+50.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADSK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $215.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ADSK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $318.53 (+50.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$192.31 -
$217.85
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.1% below Wall St target ($318.53)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$192.31 -
$217.85
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$192.26
Resistance Level
$215.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.21
Wall Street Target
$318.53
(+50.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
231.4%
Profit Margin
19.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 22.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$199.06
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$186.72
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$175.14
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→22)
$211.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$374.21
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 13.8%)
$312.88
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 13.8%)
$265.95
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.86
Bull Case
$389.53
(+84%)
Analyst growth 69.9%, PE expands to 33.4
Base Case
$354.12
(+67%)
Market implied 69.9%, PE stable at 30.4
Bear Case
$141.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$256.38
(+20.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ADSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
4
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-27
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HUBS
HubSpot Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$276 | 62 BUY |
|
UBER
Uber Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
54 analysts |
$105 | 64 BUY |
|
GRAB
Grab Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$6 | 64 BUY |
|
ESTC
Elastic NV |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$74 | 63 BUY |
|
DT
Dynatrace Holdings LLC |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$45 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced ADSK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ADSK price and gamma walls.
