RPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPT - Rithm Property Trust Inc.
$13.21
0.06 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
-1.05%
30d:
+14.27%
90d:
-8.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.02
30.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPT is currently trading at $13.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.55 to $12.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RPT scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+66.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RPT scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+66.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.55 -
$12.98
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 66.5% below Wall St target ($22.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.55 -
$12.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.90
Resistance Level
$13.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.59
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+66.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
13.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.47
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$11.77
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$11.11
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$13.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 430.2%)
$77.22
(+485%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 430.2%)
$44.58
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 430.2%)
$37.90
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$15.73
(+19.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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