Rithm Property Trust (RPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPT - Rithm Property Trust Inc.
$11.01
0.17 (1.57%)
▲
5d:
+4.16%
30d:
-2.13%
90d:
-9.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RPT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RPT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.06
39.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPT is currently trading at $11.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.60 to $11.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RPT scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+99.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RPT scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+99.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.60 -
$11.47
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 99.8% below Wall St target ($22.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.60 -
$11.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.40
Resistance Level
$11.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.66
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+99.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
13.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.95
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.00
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$8.13
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$11.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 430.2%)
$76.41
(+594%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 430.2%)
$37.16
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 430.2%)
$31.58
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.93
(+35.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 7:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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