ADC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADC - Agree Realty Corporation
$73.88
-0.57 (-0.77%)
▼
5d:
-1.15%
30d:
-7.43%
90d:
-2.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADC is currently trading at $73.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.00 to $80.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.3) is in line with its historical norms (38.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $73.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ADC scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.86 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $73.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ADC scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.86 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$75.00 -
$80.14
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 78/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.00 -
$80.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.28
Resistance Level
$75.98
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.32
Wall Street Target
$84.86
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Profit Margin
28.8%
PE vs Historical
38.3 vs 38.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.88
(0%)
2-Year Target
$73.88
(0%)
3-Year Target
$73.88
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→38)
PE COMPRESSION
$73.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.3, Growth: 64.2%)
$75.31
(+2%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 64.2%)
$39.45
(-47%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 64.2%)
$33.53
(-55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$84.89
(+15%)
Analyst growth 3.7%, PE expands to 44.0
Base Case
$77.17
(+5%)
Market implied 3.7%, PE stable at 40.0
Bear Case
$50.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Rakolta Jr
BUY
146 shares
2026-04-01
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