AAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AAT - AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST, INC.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$24.45
0.21 (0.87%) ▲
5d: +0.7%
30d: +10.39%
90d: +30.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.75
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.30
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AAT is currently trading at $24.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.19 to $24.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 53.9) compared to its historical average (45.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $20.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $22.19 - $24.43
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 44.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 15.4% above Wall St target ($20.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with 1.8% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.19 - $24.43
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.66
Resistance Level $24.85
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 53.87
Wall Street Target $20.50 (-15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -88.0%
Profit Margin 4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.8% premium
PE vs Historical 53.9 vs 45.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.65 (+6%)
2-Year Target $27.13 (+12%)
3-Year Target $28.71 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 54→45) PE COMPRESSION $24.19 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 53.9, Growth: -2.2%) $22.69 (+-6%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -2.2%) $9.18 (-62%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: -2.2%) $7.80 (-68%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (80x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (54x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 80.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.30
Bull Case $39.68 (+64%)
Analyst growth 50.0%, PE expands to 88.2
Base Case $36.08 (+49%)
Market implied 50.0%, PE stable at 80.2
Bear Case $16.35 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 68.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:53 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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