ZG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$34.36
-1.43 (-4.00%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.36%
30d:
-4.02%
90d:
-6.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ZG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ZG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.91
44.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $34.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.88 to $36.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.23 (+37.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.23 (+37.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$33.88 -
$36.78
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.4% below Wall St target ($47.23)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.88 -
$36.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.08
Resistance Level
$38.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.74
Wall Street Target
$47.23
(+37.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 17.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.92
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$27.83
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$25.05
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â18)
$37.33
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 29.2%)
$126.71
(+269%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 29.2%)
$74.03
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 29.2%)
$62.92
(+83%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 16.45 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.09
Bull Case
$41.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$34.36
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$26.29
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 17.5
Stabilization Target:
$51.21
(+49.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+49.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 1:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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