ZILLOW GROUP (ZG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$31.89
-0.21 (-0.65%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.34%
30d:
+12.25%
90d:
-10.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ZG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ZG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.97
45.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $31.89, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.25 to $32.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.32 (+45.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.32 (+45.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$28.25 -
$32.67
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.2% below Wall St target ($46.32)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.25 -
$32.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.23
Resistance Level
$35.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.78
Wall Street Target
$46.32
(+45.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 16.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.70
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$25.83
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$23.25
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â16)
$34.95
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 31.1%)
$132.53
(+316%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 31.1%)
$71.91
(+126%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 31.1%)
$61.13
(+92%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.87
Bull Case
$38.51
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$31.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$24.40
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$47.94
(+50.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 01, 2026 2:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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