NMRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMRK - Newmark Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$14.98
-0.11 (-0.73%)
▼
5d:
-4.28%
30d:
+1.15%
90d:
-3.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.56
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.25
1.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMRK is currently trading at $14.98, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.54 to $15.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 146.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.42 (+28.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.42 (+28.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.54 -
$15.43
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($19.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.54 -
$15.43
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.62
Resistance Level
$15.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.98
Wall Street Target
$19.42
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
146.9%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.55
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$14.02
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$13.52
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$15.10
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$65.62
(+335%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 11.7%)
$21.04
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$17.88
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$33.44
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$30.40
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$10.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$16.86
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NMRK price and gamma walls.
