BEKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEKE - KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
$17.29
0.34 (2.01%)
▲
5d:
+5.49%
30d:
+14.58%
90d:
+1.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BEKE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BEKE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.72
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEKE is currently trading at $17.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.95 to $16.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.3) is in line with its historical norms (2.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.81 (+31.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.81 (+31.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.95 -
$16.93
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.9% below Wall St target ($22.81)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.95 -
$16.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.84
Resistance Level
$17.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.27
Wall Street Target
$22.81
(+31.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.2%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.3 vs 2.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.89
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$16.50
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$16.12
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$17.03
(-2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.5%)
$230.84
(+1235%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.3, Growth: 13.5%)
$25.30
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.9, Growth: 13.5%)
$21.50
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$37.29
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.4
Base Case
$33.90
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.5
Bear Case
$11.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.3 to 2.4
Stabilization Target:
$18.26
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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