BEKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEKE - KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
$16.91
-0.32 (-1.86%)
▼
5d:
+1.74%
30d:
-3.15%
90d:
-0.82%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BEKE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.1% annual earnings decline despite 54% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BEKE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.1% annual earnings decline despite 54% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.74
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.09
11.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEKE is currently trading at $16.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.46 to $18.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.2) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.01, while resistance sits at $18.57.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.92 (+35.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.01, while resistance sits at $18.57.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.92 (+35.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.46 -
$18.60
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.5% below Wall St target ($22.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.46 -
$18.60
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.01
Resistance Level
$18.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.21
Wall Street Target
$22.92
(+35.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.2%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.2 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.05
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$15.23
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$14.45
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$16.97
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.4%)
$250.81
(+1383%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.2, Growth: 14.4%)
$25.35
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.9, Growth: 14.4%)
$21.55
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$36.56
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.6
Base Case
$33.24
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.8
Bear Case
$11.30
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.2 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$19.85
(+17.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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