BEKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEKE - KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
$17.91
0.16 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
+6.26%
30d:
+12.68%
90d:
+9.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BEKE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BEKE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.77
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.49
3.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEKE is currently trading at $17.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.40 to $17.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.3) is in line with its historical norms (2.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.94 (+29.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.94 (+29.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.40 -
$17.36
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($22.94)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.40 -
$17.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.73
Resistance Level
$18.01
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.32
Wall Street Target
$22.94
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.2%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.3 vs 2.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.50
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.26
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$17.01
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$17.63
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.4%)
$242.75
(+1268%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.3, Growth: 16.4%)
$28.01
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.0, Growth: 16.4%)
$23.81
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$37.38
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.5
Base Case
$33.98
(+91%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.5
Bear Case
$11.55
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.3 to 2.4
Stabilization Target:
$18.39
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 10:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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