EXPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPE - Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
$321.42
2.92 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
+0.11%
30d:
+21.25%
90d:
+49.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $310.68 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$467.91
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$290.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPE is currently trading at $321.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $266.17 to $315.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $304.20, while resistance sits at $335.00.
Market Sentiment: EXPE scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $304.20, while resistance sits at $335.00.
Market Sentiment: EXPE scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$266.17 -
$315.20
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXPE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($333.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$266.17 -
$315.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$304.20
Resistance Level
$335.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.32
Wall Street Target
$333.86
(+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
188.7%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$333.31
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$345.65
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$358.43
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$320.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.7%)
$771.08
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 16.7%)
$510.75
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 16.7%)
$434.14
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.22
Bull Case
$555.44
(+73%)
Analyst growth 58.5%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$504.95
(+57%)
Market implied 58.5%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$216.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 18, 2026 10:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert J Dzielak
SELL
8225 shares
2026-03-04
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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Advanced EXPE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EXPE price and gamma walls.
