Is EXPE stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, EXPE is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: EXPE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of EXPE stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for EXPE to be between $217.31 and $232.78. The current price is $240.90.

What is the analyst price target for EXPE?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for EXPE is $286.32. This implies a potential upside of 18.9% from current levels.

EXPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EXPE - Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock

TRANSPORTATION SERVICES

$240.90

1.43 (0.60%) ▲

5d: +7.23%

30d: +12.05%

90d: +0.62%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your EXPE Gains

Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXPE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 16.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$448.88

Based on 10.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$278.72

13.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EXPE is currently trading at $240.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $217.31 to $232.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $234.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: EXPE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $286.32 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $217.31 - $232.78

Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($286.32)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $217.31 - $232.78

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $219.53

Resistance Level $234.84

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.43

Wall Street Target $286.32 (+18.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -27.3%

Profit Margin 9.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 10.4 vs 11.9 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $230.54 (-4%)

2-Year Target $220.63 (-8%)

3-Year Target $211.14 (-12%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→12) $240.91 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.8%) $802.04 (+233%)

Base: (SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 16.8%) $384.06 (+59%)

Bear: (PE: 8.9, Growth: 16.8%) $326.45 (+36%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 21.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.33

Bull Case $526.83 (+119%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.3

Base Case $478.94 (+99%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.1

Bear Case $162.84 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 11.9

Stabilization Target: $274.86 (+14.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +14.1%

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Last updated: June 19, 2026 10:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:37 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Robert J Dzielak SELL 8225 shares 2026-03-04

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-24

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-05

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