FE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FE - FirstEnergy Corp.

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$46.45
0.31 (0.67%) ▲
5d: -0.47%
30d: +3.06%
90d: -6.52%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 5.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.52
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.68
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FE is currently trading at $46.45, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.82 to $46.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: FE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.15 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $44.82 - $46.76
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($52.15)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $44.82 - $46.76
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.09
Resistance Level $47.14
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.76
Wall Street Target $52.15 (+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 12.9%
Profit Margin 6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.8 vs 16.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $45.61 (-2%)
2-Year Target $44.79 (-4%)
3-Year Target $43.99 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→17) $46.60 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.8%) $80.40 (+73%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 7.8%) $58.19 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 13.4, Growth: 7.8%) $49.46 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case $81.29 (+75%)
Analyst growth 60.2%, PE expands to 27.6
Base Case $73.90 (+59%)
Market implied 60.2%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case $31.38 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 16.7
Stabilization Target: $49.21 (+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.9%
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Last updated: June 21, 2026 1:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James F Oneil SELL 7945 shares 2026-03-11
Jon Taylor K. SELL 26800 shares 2026-03-10
Jason Lisowski SELL 3000 shares 2026-03-06

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