NGG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGG - National Grid PLC
$80.97
1.53 (1.93%)
▲
5d:
-1.06%
30d:
-4.43%
90d:
-1.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When NGG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NGG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NGG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.40
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.80
7.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGG is currently trading at $80.97, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.13 to $85.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.95 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.95 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$80.13 -
$85.08
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($90.95)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.13 -
$85.08
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.70
Resistance Level
$86.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.22
Wall Street Target
$90.95
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.03
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$77.13
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$75.28
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$80.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.6%)
$211.35
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 16.6%)
$128.29
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 16.6%)
$109.05
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.39
Bull Case
$121.91
(+51%)
Analyst growth 39.5%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$110.83
(+37%)
Market implied 39.5%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$54.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$86.97
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NGG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Electric by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NEE
Nextera Energy Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$99 | 66 BUY |
|
ETR
Entergy Corporation |
BUY
20 analysts |
$122 | 62 BUY |
|
PCG
PG&E Corp |
BUY
19 analysts |
$23 | 60 BUY |
|
PPL
PPL Corporation |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$41 | 59 HOLD |
|
DTE
DTE Energy Company |
BUY
17 analysts |
$159 | 62 BUY |
