SRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRE - Sempra
$82.89
-4.49 (-5.14%)
▼
5d:
-4.07%
30d:
-11.29%
90d:
-9.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.44
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRE is currently trading at $82.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.27 to $92.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.62 (+21.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.62 (+21.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$85.27 -
$92.08
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($104.62)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.27 -
$92.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.67
Resistance Level
$88.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.51
Wall Street Target
$104.62
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.3%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.36
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$80.86
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$78.44
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$85.95
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$142.47
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 8.5%)
$109.91
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 8.5%)
$93.42
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.45
Bull Case
$152.62
(+84%)
Analyst growth 60.6%, PE expands to 27.6
Base Case
$138.74
(+67%)
Market implied 60.6%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$58.76
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$94.17
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Justin Christopher Bird
SELL
1128 shares
2026-04-01
Dyan Z Wold
SELL
1539 shares
2026-03-16
Jennifer M Kirk
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
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