BKH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$73.71
0.78 (1.08%)
▲
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
-0.61%
90d:
+8.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BKH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BKH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.84
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $73.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.34 to $74.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $74.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.40 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $74.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.40 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$71.34 -
$74.20
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($83.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.34 -
$74.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.47
Resistance Level
$74.46
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.81
Wall Street Target
$83.40
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.63
(0%)
2-Year Target
$72.34
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$72.05
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$72.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$120.71
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$87.63
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 6.3%)
$74.48
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.84
Bull Case
$96.11
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.1%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$87.38
(+20%)
Market implied 20.1%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$49.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.79
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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