Is HOOD stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, HOOD is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HOOD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of HOOD stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for HOOD to be between $109.40 and $120.48. The current price is $109.07.

What is the analyst price target for HOOD?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for HOOD is $134.33. This implies a potential upside of 23.2% from current levels.

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HOOD - Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES

$109.07

0.05 (0.05%) ▲

5d: -4.42%

30d: -3.11%

90d: -3.86%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your HOOD Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 27, 2026 14d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 5, 2026 at $114.11 · last confirmed Oct 12, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HOOD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$141.58

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$87.91

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HOOD is currently trading at $109.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.40 to $120.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.5) is in line with its historical norms (36.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $105.11, while resistance sits at $123.49.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.33 (+23.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $109.40 - $120.48

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 80.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($134.33)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $109.40 - $120.48

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $105.11

Resistance Level $123.49

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 12, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 37.49

Wall Street Target $134.33 (+23.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 47.6%

Profit Margin 42.0%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.5% premium

PE vs Historical 37.5 vs 36.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $109.57 (+1%)

2-Year Target $110.11 (+1%)

3-Year Target $110.66 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 37→37) PE COMPRESSION $108.93 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 37.5, Growth: 35.3%) $269.90 (+148%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 35.3%) $142.98 (+31%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 35.3%) $121.54 (+12%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 47.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27

Bull Case $150.80 (+38%)

Analyst growth 28.1%, PE expands to 51.9

Base Case $137.09 (+26%)

Market implied 28.1%, PE stable at 47.1

Bear Case $72.77 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 12, 2026 1:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:48 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Baiju Bhatt SELL 57261 shares 2026-04-16

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