HOOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HOOD - Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$98.81
3.90 (4.10%)
▲
5d:
+8.92%
30d:
-14.48%
90d:
+28.74%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $93.29 · last confirmed Aug 13, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HOOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HOOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HOOD is currently trading at $98.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.09 to $110.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.2) is in line with its historical norms (36.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $100.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HOOD scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.82 (+26.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $100.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HOOD scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.82 (+26.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$91.09 -
$110.06
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HOOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (80/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($119.82)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.09 -
$110.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.68
Resistance Level
$100.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.20
Wall Street Target
$119.82
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.6%
Profit Margin
42.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.2 vs 36.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.06
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$93.21
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$92.37
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→36)
$95.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.2, Growth: 30.4%)
$210.29
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 30.4%)
$120.86
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 30.4%)
$102.73
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.26
Bull Case
$123.87
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.3%, PE expands to 45.9
Base Case
$112.60
(+19%)
Market implied 19.3%, PE stable at 41.8
Bear Case
$64.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.2 to 36.2
Stabilization Target:
$97.61
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 1:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HOOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Baiju Bhatt
SELL
57261 shares
2026-04-16
Shiv Verma
SELL
5436 shares
2026-04-15
Steven M Quirk
SELL
8540 shares
2026-04-15
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Advanced HOOD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HOOD price and gamma walls.
