HOOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HOOD - Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES
$98.12
4.93 (5.29%) ▲
5d: +15.38%
30d: +21.59%
90d: +30.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your HOOD Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: HOOD is 9.9% above its trading range ($89.28). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.45
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HOOD is currently trading at $98.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.48 to $89.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 39.3) compared to its historical average (35.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $100.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: HOOD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $75.48 - $89.28
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.9% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($100.86)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $75.48 - $89.28
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $78.93
Resistance Level $100.87
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 39.31
Wall Street Target $100.86 (+2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2.7%
Profit Margin 41.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.5% premium
PE vs Historical 39.3 vs 35.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $101.55 (+4%)
2-Year Target $105.11 (+7%)
3-Year Target $108.79 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 39→35) PE COMPRESSION $97.96 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 39.3, Growth: 34.8%) $240.31 (+145%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.8%) $133.14 (+36%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 34.8%) $113.17 (+15%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case $124.21 (+27%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 49.8
Base Case $112.91 (+15%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 45.2
Bear Case $63.37 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 16, 2026 12:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Baiju Bhatt SELL 57261 shares 2026-04-16
Shiv Verma SELL 5436 shares 2026-04-15
Steven M Quirk SELL 8540 shares 2026-04-15

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