BL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BL - BlackLine, Inc. Common Stock
$31.83
-0.09 (-0.28%)
▼
5d:
+4.26%
30d:
+16.0%
90d:
+9.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 13, 2026 at $31.36 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.00
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.64
13.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BL is currently trading at $31.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.83 to $31.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 101.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BL scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.80 (+21.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BL scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.80 (+21.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.83 -
$31.73
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
36.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($38.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.83 -
$31.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.08
(9.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.60
Resistance Level
$32.22
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.45
Wall Street Target
$38.80
(+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
101.6%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.44
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$27.23
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$25.19
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$31.91
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.9%)
$78.19
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 11.9%)
$44.60
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 11.9%)
$37.91
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (57x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 57.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.56
Bull Case
$70.22
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 62.7
Base Case
$63.84
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 57.0
Bear Case
$21.71
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 48.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$40.32
(+26.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BL price and gamma walls.
