CGNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNT - Cognyte Software Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$8.47
-0.01 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
-3.75%
30d:
-6.2%
90d:
-5.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CGNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CGNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.03
23.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNT is currently trading at $8.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.57 to $9.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (29.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.33 (+45.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.33 (+45.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.57 -
$9.19
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
46th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CGNT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 46th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.6% below Wall St target ($12.33)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.57 -
$9.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.23
(14.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.26
Resistance Level
$9.11
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.21
Wall Street Target
$12.33
(+45.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.8%
Profit Margin
-0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 29.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.83
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$7.25
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$6.70
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→29)
$8.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 55.3%)
$28.59
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 55.3%)
$24.92
(+194%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 55.3%)
$21.18
(+150%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 29.3
Stabilization Target:
$10.69
(+26.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 05, 2026 5:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CGNT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CGNT price and gamma walls.
