BOX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOX - BOX, INC.
$32.91
0.01 (0.03%)
â˛
5d:
+0.8%
30d:
+16.37%
90d:
+29.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BOX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BOX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.82
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOX is currently trading at $32.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.01 to $32.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.7) compared to its historical average (17.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BOX scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BOX scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$30.01 -
$32.94
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BOX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.2% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.01 -
$32.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.93
Resistance Level
$33.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.67
Wall Street Target
$33.25
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.1%
Profit Margin
-19.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 17.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.61
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$38.53
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$41.69
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â18)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 12.8%)
$47.24
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.8%)
$41.83
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.8%)
$35.55
(+8%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.85
Bull Case
$39.74
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$32.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$25.18
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BOX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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10280 shares
2026-04-10
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6528 shares
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