BOX (BOX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BOX - BOX, INC.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$32.79
-0.83 (-2.45%) ▼
5d: -5.79%
30d: -0.38%
90d: +31.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your BOX Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 18, 2026 at $33.77 · last confirmed Sep 18, 2026

Strength: 5.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BOX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.12
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.91
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BOX is currently trading at $32.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.98 to $35.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.1) compared to its historical average (18.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BOX scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.71 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $32.98 - $35.03
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.71)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.8% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $32.98 - $35.03
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.45
Resistance Level $35.32
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.15
Wall Street Target $38.71 (+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 80.0%
Profit Margin 10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.8% premium
PE vs Historical 23.2 vs 18.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.23 (+8%)
2-Year Target $39.06 (+16%)
3-Year Target $42.10 (+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→19) PE COMPRESSION $33.65 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.1, Growth: 12.8%) $48.24 (+44%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.8%) $42.20 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 12.8%) $35.87 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case $74.18 (+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.6
Base Case $67.44 (+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.6
Bear Case $22.93 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 22, 2026 12:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:52 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dylan C Smith SELL 10280 shares 2026-04-10
Eli Berkovitch SELL 24500 shares 2026-04-08
Olivia Nottebohm SELL 6528 shares 2026-04-07

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