Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PLTR - Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A Common Stock
$196.75
0.56 (0.29%)
â˛
5d:
+5.76%
30d:
+2.16%
90d:
+49.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
7d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 5, 2026 at $189.40 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PLTR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PLTR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PLTR is currently trading at $196.75, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $181.02 to $200.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 83.7) is in line with its historical norms (93.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 215.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $184.45, while resistance sits at $212.94.
Market Sentiment: PLTR scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $184.45, while resistance sits at $212.94.
Market Sentiment: PLTR scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$181.02 -
$200.75
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PLTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($206.43)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$181.02 -
$200.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$184.45
Resistance Level
$212.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
83.71
Wall Street Target
$206.43
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
92.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
215.4%
Profit Margin
49.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
83.7 vs 93.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$190.06
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$183.60
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$177.36
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 84â93)
$197.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 83.7, Growth: 45.2%)
$602.42
(+206%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 45.2%)
$142.93
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 45.2%)
$121.49
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (85x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (84x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 85.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.30
Bull Case
$237.58
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 89.7
Base Case
$196.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 85.5
Bear Case
$150.51
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 76.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 83.7 to 93.0
Stabilization Target:
$218.60
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 10:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PLTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PLTR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PLTR price and gamma walls.
