Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SBLK - Star Bulk Carriers Corp.
$28.36
-0.53 (-1.83%)
▼
5d:
-2.14%
30d:
-6.8%
90d:
-1.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SBLK is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SBLK is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.04
Based on -6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SBLK is currently trading at $28.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.51 to $30.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBLK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.44 (+21.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBLK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.44 (+21.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$28.51 -
$30.42
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($34.44)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.51 -
$30.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.73
Resistance Level
$29.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.60
Wall Street Target
$34.44
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
388194.0%
Profit Margin
23.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.56
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.76
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$28.96
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.20
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -17.7%)
$54.02
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -17.7%)
$20.67
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: -17.7%)
$17.57
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$46.50
(+64%)
Analyst growth 46.3%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$42.27
(+49%)
Market implied 46.3%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$19.65
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 01, 2026 1:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SBLK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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