KEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEX - Kirby Corporation
$139.93
0.71 (0.51%)
â˛
5d:
+0.95%
30d:
-6.15%
90d:
-3.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KEX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KEX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$231.40
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$143.68
2.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEX is currently trading at $139.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $132.62 to $145.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $142.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.17 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $142.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.17 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$132.62 -
$145.15
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
22th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KEX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($166.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$132.62 -
$145.15
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$7.40
(5.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$131.11
Resistance Level
$142.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.78
Wall Street Target
$166.17
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$140.21
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$140.49
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$140.77
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$140.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.6%)
$272.09
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 17.6%)
$227.55
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 17.6%)
$193.42
(+38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.53
Bull Case
$195.51
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.7%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$177.74
(+27%)
Market implied 27.7%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$94.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christian G O'neil
SELL
11287 shares
2026-03-02
Raj Kumar
SELL
3000 shares
2026-03-02
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Advanced KEX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KEX price and gamma walls.
