KEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEX - Kirby Corporation
$130.46
-0.68 (-0.52%)
▼
5d:
-10.08%
30d:
+0.47%
90d:
-11.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KEX is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KEX is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$229.25
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.35
8.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEX is currently trading at $130.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.52 to $146.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $128.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.33 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $128.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.33 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$133.52 -
$146.27
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
36th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KEX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($165.33)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$133.52 -
$146.27
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.26
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.91
Resistance Level
$151.52
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.81
Wall Street Target
$165.33
(+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.65
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$126.20
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$123.81
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$130.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.4%)
$278.47
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 17.4%)
$212.36
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 17.4%)
$180.50
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.50
Bull Case
$185.79
(+42%)
Analyst growth 27.6%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$168.90
(+29%)
Market implied 27.6%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$89.99
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$138.54
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christian G O'neil
SELL
11287 shares
2026-03-02
Raj Kumar
SELL
3000 shares
2026-03-02
David W Grzebinski
SELL
34152 shares
2026-02-24
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