MATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$222.80
6.03 (2.78%)
▲
5d:
+2.53%
30d:
+4.31%
90d:
+21.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$244.85
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $222.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.56 to $218.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $224.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $261.67 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $224.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $261.67 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$205.56 -
$218.94
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($261.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$205.56 -
$218.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$202.63
Resistance Level
$224.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.36
Wall Street Target
$261.67
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.2%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$230.15
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$237.75
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$245.59
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$222.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$374.82
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 3.9%)
$249.57
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 3.9%)
$212.13
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.72
Bull Case
$270.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 13.3%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$245.52
(+10%)
Market implied 13.3%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$147.40
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher A Scott
SELL
2509 shares
2026-03-11
John P Lauer
SELL
8603 shares
2026-03-05
Kevin L Stuck
SELL
2524 shares
2026-03-03
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