MATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$185.81
-1.25 (-0.67%)
▼
5d:
+0.84%
30d:
+8.77%
90d:
+11.01%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$240.81
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$149.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $185.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $176.59 to $185.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $190.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $224.00 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $190.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $224.00 (+20.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$176.59 -
$185.80
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.6% below Wall St target ($224.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$176.59 -
$185.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$177.05
Resistance Level
$190.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.26
Wall Street Target
$224.00
(+20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$188.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$190.30
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$192.58
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$185.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 8.3%)
$422.12
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 8.3%)
$236.29
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 8.3%)
$200.85
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.49
Bull Case
$227.63
(+26%)
Analyst growth 12.3%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$206.93
(+15%)
Market implied 12.3%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$125.30
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher A Scott
SELL
2509 shares
2026-03-11
John P Lauer
SELL
8603 shares
2026-03-05
Kevin L Stuck
SELL
2524 shares
2026-03-03
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