MATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$195.76
-1.07 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+0.3%
30d:
+7.12%
90d:
+22.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MATX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MATX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$242.85
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $195.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $183.24 to $195.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $197.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $228.33 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $197.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $228.33 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$183.24 -
$195.42
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($228.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$183.24 -
$195.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.21
Resistance Level
$197.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.92
Wall Street Target
$228.33
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$201.24
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$206.88
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$212.67
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$195.86
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.3%)
$419.62
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 8.3%)
$248.95
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 8.3%)
$211.60
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.48
Bull Case
$243.34
(+24%)
Analyst growth 12.4%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$221.21
(+13%)
Market implied 12.4%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$133.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher A Scott
SELL
2509 shares
2026-03-11
John P Lauer
SELL
8603 shares
2026-03-05
Kevin L Stuck
SELL
2524 shares
2026-03-03
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