MATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$207.45
4.86 (2.40%)
▲
5d:
+0.97%
30d:
+1.93%
90d:
+19.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$221.22
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $207.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $198.44 to $214.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $193.50, while resistance sits at $224.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $241.67 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $193.50, while resistance sits at $224.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $241.67 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$198.44 -
$214.61
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($241.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with -3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$198.44 -
$214.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$193.50
Resistance Level
$224.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.20
Wall Street Target
$241.67
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$209.96
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$216.47
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$223.18
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$204.63
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 2.9%)
$349.66
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 2.9%)
$221.74
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 2.9%)
$188.48
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.40
Bull Case
$255.69
(+26%)
Analyst growth 15.2%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$232.44
(+15%)
Market implied 15.2%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$137.25
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher A Scott
SELL
2509 shares
2026-03-11
John P Lauer
SELL
8603 shares
2026-03-05
Kevin L Stuck
SELL
2524 shares
2026-03-03
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