NMM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMM - Navios Maritime Partners L.P.
$75.41
-0.34 (-0.45%)
▼
5d:
+0.75%
30d:
+4.56%
90d:
+9.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.43
Based on -30.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMM is currently trading at $75.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.52 to $74.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.4) compared to its historical average (5.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NMM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.75 (+23.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NMM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.75 (+23.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$70.52 -
$74.66
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.0% below Wall St target ($92.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.52 -
$74.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.99
Resistance Level
$73.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.41
Wall Street Target
$92.75
(+23.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
163.2%
Profit Margin
25.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.4 vs 5.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.36
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$65.64
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$61.25
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$75.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -65.3%)
$365.56
(+385%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.4, Growth: -65.3%)
$73.94
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: -65.3%)
$62.85
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.85
Bull Case
$120.36
(+60%)
Analyst growth 44.5%, PE expands to 7.0
Base Case
$109.42
(+45%)
Market implied 44.5%, PE stable at 6.4
Bear Case
$51.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.4 to 5.4
Stabilization Target:
$92.43
(+22.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
19
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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