KTB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KTB - Kontoor Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$78.99
-3.18 (-3.87%)
▼
5d:
-6.01%
30d:
-9.01%
90d:
+21.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KTB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KTB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.76
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.40
9.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KTB is currently trading at $78.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.05 to $86.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.60, while resistance sits at $85.52. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.70 (+23.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.60, while resistance sits at $85.52. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.70 (+23.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$80.05 -
$86.21
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
11th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KTB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 11th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($97.70)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with 18.6% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.05 -
$86.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.11
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.60
Resistance Level
$85.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.00
Wall Street Target
$97.70
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.4%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.04
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$83.15
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$85.31
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 24.5%)
$254.76
(+223%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 24.5%)
$152.36
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 24.5%)
$129.51
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.93
Bull Case
$120.65
(+53%)
Analyst growth 33.5%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$109.68
(+39%)
Market implied 33.5%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$55.88
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 20, 2026 11:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KTB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KTB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KTB price and gamma walls.
