CRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRI - Carter's Inc.
$38.58
-1.61 (-4.01%)
▼
5d:
-1.33%
30d:
-1.91%
90d:
+8.61%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.57
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.85
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRI is currently trading at $38.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.06 to $42.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.90, while resistance sits at $43.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.67 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.90, while resistance sits at $43.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.67 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$39.06 -
$42.42
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.06 -
$42.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.90
Resistance Level
$43.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.56
Wall Street Target
$42.67
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.27
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$36.00
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$34.78
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$38.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.9%)
$111.62
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 11.9%)
$54.11
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 11.9%)
$45.99
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.49
Bull Case
$64.88
(+68%)
Analyst growth 46.8%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$58.98
(+53%)
Market implied 46.8%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$27.33
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$42.75
(+10.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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