CPRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPRI - Capri Holdings Limited
$13.65
-0.12 (-0.87%)
▼
5d:
-11.02%
30d:
-12.16%
90d:
-25.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CPRI is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CPRI is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.63
48.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPRI is currently trading at $13.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.82 to $16.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPRI scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.53 (+65.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPRI scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.53 (+65.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.82 -
$16.55
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 65.1% below Wall St target ($22.53)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.82 -
$16.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.61
Resistance Level
$15.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.31
Wall Street Target
$22.53
(+65.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.4%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 11.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.29
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.06
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→12)
$16.05
(+18%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 32.5%)
$87.17
(+539%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 32.5%)
$31.77
(+133%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 32.5%)
$27.00
(+98%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$30.29
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$27.54
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$9.36
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$22.02
(+61.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+61.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John D Idol
BUY
55000 shares
2026-03-11
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