CPRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CPRI - Capri Holdings Limited

LEATHER & LEATHER PRODUCTS
$18.44
0.16 (0.88%) ▲
5d: +0.93%
30d: -0.91%
90d: -2.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPRI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.11
36.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CPRI is currently trading at $18.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.60 to $19.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CPRI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.81, while resistance sits at $20.19.

Market Sentiment: CPRI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.72 (+39.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $17.60 - $19.33
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.5% below Wall St target ($25.72)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.60 - $19.33
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.81
Resistance Level $20.19
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.88
Wall Street Target $25.72 (+39.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -74.0%
Profit Margin 3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.9 vs 12.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.85 (-9%)
2-Year Target $15.40 (-17%)
3-Year Target $14.08 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→13) $18.38 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 32.5%) $95.17 (+416%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 32.5%) $42.92 (+133%)
Bear: (PE: 8.4, Growth: 32.5%) $36.48 (+98%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case $40.19 (+104%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case $36.54 (+85%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.1
Bear Case $12.42 (-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 12.9
Stabilization Target: $24.07 (+30.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +30.6%
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
John D Idol BUY 55000 shares 2026-03-11
Rajal Mehta SELL 10000 shares 2025-12-09

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