GOOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GOOS - Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
$8.74
0.19 (2.22%)
▲
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
-4.69%
90d:
-10.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When GOOS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GOOS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GOOS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.15
33.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GOOS is currently trading at $8.74, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.59 to $9.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GOOS scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GOOS scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$8.59 -
$9.47
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.49)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.59 -
$9.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.42
Resistance Level
$8.86
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.89
Wall Street Target
$9.49
(+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 14.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.12
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$7.54
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$7.01
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$8.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 25.7%)
$29.30
(+235%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 25.7%)
$17.36
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 25.7%)
$14.76
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$16.46
(+88%)
Analyst growth 75.0%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$14.96
(+71%)
Market implied 75.0%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$5.81
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$10.88
(+24.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GOOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Apparel Manufacturing Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Manufacturing by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RL
Ralph Lauren Corp Class A |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$447 | 48 HOLD |
|
GIL
Gildan Activewear Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$85 | 58 HOLD |
|
UAA
Under Armour Inc A |
SELL
26 analysts |
$6 | 54 HOLD |
|
VFC
VF Corporation |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$19 | 57 HOLD |
|
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co Class A |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$28 | 55 HOLD |
