GIII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$35.64
0.19 (0.54%)
▲
5d:
+4.27%
30d:
+2.5%
90d:
+13.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GIII trades at premium valuation expecting 6.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GIII trades at premium valuation expecting 6.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.14
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $35.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.57 to $34.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GIII has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GIII has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.57 -
$34.99
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.7% growth expectation is conservative given 782% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.57 -
$34.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.31
Resistance Level
$36.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.10
Wall Street Target
$39.33
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
782.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 10.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.83
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$40.36
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$43.06
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 1.0%)
$63.28
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 1.0%)
$36.55
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 1.0%)
$30.20
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.84
Bull Case
$40.19
(+13%)
Analyst growth 3.2%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$36.54
(+3%)
Market implied 3.2%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$24.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 21, 2026 11:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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