Is QCOM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, QCOM is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: QCOM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of QCOM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for QCOM to be between $174.87 and $190.79. The current price is $172.11.

What is the analyst price target for QCOM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for QCOM is $194.13. This implies a potential upside of 12.8% from current levels.

Qualcomm (QCOM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

QCOM - Qualcomm Inc

RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

$172.11

-6.29 (-3.53%) ▼

5d: -1.93%

30d: -8.8%

90d: +1.05%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your QCOM Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 17d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 13, 2026 at $176.86 · last confirmed Oct 16, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QCOM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -2.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$163.03

Based on 0.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$101.23

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $172.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $174.87 to $190.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $168.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.13 (+12.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $174.87 - $190.79

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 75.7%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($194.13)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with -4.0% revenue growth
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $174.87 - $190.79

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $168.84

Resistance Level $185.48

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 16, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.88

Wall Street Target $194.13 (+12.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -23.0%

Profit Margin 21.0%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.0% premium

PE vs Historical 16.9 vs 15.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $177.27 (+3%)

2-Year Target $182.59 (+6%)

3-Year Target $188.07 (+9%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→16) PE COMPRESSION $172.70 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.7%) $186.37 (+8%)

Base: (SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: -2.7%) $158.39 (-8%)

Bear: (PE: 14.3, Growth: -2.7%) $134.64 (-22%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 21.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.43

Bull Case $237.37 (+38%)

Analyst growth 21.0%, PE expands to 23.3

Base Case $215.79 (+25%)

Market implied 21.0%, PE stable at 21.2

Bear Case $121.31 (-30%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 17, 2026 9:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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