AMKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMKR - Amkor Technology Inc

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$86.72
-6.83 (-7.30%) ▼
5d: +1.5%
30d: +31.59%
90d: +88.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your AMKR Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 8.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMKR trades at premium valuation expecting 10.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.33
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.54
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMKR is currently trading at $86.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.49 to $83.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 35.4) compared to its historical average (26.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMKR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.20, while resistance sits at $96.68. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: AMKR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $75.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $66.49 - $83.24
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.3%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 12.9% above Wall St target ($75.50)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.8% growth expectation is conservative given 286% recent growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $66.49 - $83.24
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $65.20
Resistance Level $96.68
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.37
Wall Street Target $75.50 (-12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 285.6%
Profit Margin 6.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +10.8% premium
PE vs Historical 35.4 vs 26.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $96.09 (+11%)
2-Year Target $106.46 (+23%)
3-Year Target $117.96 (+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 35→26) PE COMPRESSION $86.72 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 35.4, Growth: 17.8%) $141.66 (+63%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.8%) $87.24 (+1%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.8%) $74.15 (-15%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (52x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 51.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case $140.22 (+50%)
Analyst growth 40.9%, PE expands to 57.2
Base Case $127.48 (+36%)
Market implied 40.9%, PE stable at 52.0
Bear Case $61.51 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 44.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark N Rogers SELL 5000 shares 2026-04-16
Mark N Rogers SELL 5000 shares 2026-03-16
Guillaume Marie Jean Rut… SELL 20000 shares 2026-02-24

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