HIMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HIMX - Himax Technologies, Inc.

Semiconductors & Related Devices
$14.84
-0.25 (-1.69%) ▼
5d: +7.81%
30d: +6.57%
90d: -27.93%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $14.61 · last confirmed Aug 13, 2026

Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HIMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.92
48.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HIMX is currently trading at $14.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.67 to $14.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HIMX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.01, while resistance sits at $15.60.

Market Sentiment: HIMX scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.20 (+100.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $12.67 - $14.77
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 100.1% below Wall St target ($30.20)
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.67 - $14.77
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.01
Resistance Level $15.60
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.61
Wall Street Target $30.20 (+100.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 20.2%
Profit Margin 4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.6 vs 18.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.58 (-10%)
2-Year Target $12.22 (-19%)
3-Year Target $11.00 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→18) $17.44 (+16%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 176.6%) $88.76 (+488%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 176.6%) $50.93 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 9.9, Growth: 176.6%) $43.29 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.53
Bull Case $18.22 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case $15.09 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case $11.54 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 18.4
Stabilization Target: $23.92 (+58.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +58.5%
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Last updated: August 13, 2026 2:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced HIMX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HIMX price and gamma walls.

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