FORM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FORM - FormFactor Inc.
$96.73
1.31 (1.38%)
▲
5d:
-10.52%
30d:
-19.6%
90d:
-23.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FORM is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FORM is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.42
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FORM is currently trading at $96.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.65 to $124.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.5) compared to its historical average (43.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 502.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FORM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $93.50, while resistance sits at $117.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.62 (+45.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FORM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $93.50, while resistance sits at $117.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.62 (+45.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$98.65 -
$124.15
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FORM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.3% below Wall St target ($138.62)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.65 -
$124.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.51
Resistance Level
$117.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.46
Wall Street Target
$138.63
(+45.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
502.5%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.5 vs 43.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.87
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$77.28
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$69.55
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→44)
$110.96
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: 13.7%)
$140.13
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.7%)
$102.59
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.7%)
$87.20
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 40.98 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.33
Bull Case
$115.21
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case
$95.41
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 41.0
Bear Case
$72.99
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 36.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.5 to 43.8
Stabilization Target:
$152.20
(+59.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+59.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 3:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FORM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mike Slessor
SELL
11294 shares
2026-04-15
Mike Slessor
SELL
10227 shares
2026-03-18
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