ADI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADI - Analog Devices, Inc.
$407.26
-38.22 (-8.58%)
▼
5d:
-4.75%
30d:
+6.0%
90d:
+30.45%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$644.31
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$400.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADI is currently trading at $407.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $400.28 to $428.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.6) is in line with its historical norms (27.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $383.32, while resistance sits at $445.91. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $450.73 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $383.32, while resistance sits at $445.91. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $450.73 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$400.28 -
$428.03
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($450.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$400.28 -
$428.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$383.32
Resistance Level
$445.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.55
Wall Street Target
$450.73
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.5%
Profit Margin
26.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 27.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$406.85
(0%)
2-Year Target
$406.45
(0%)
3-Year Target
$406.04
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→28)
$406.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.6, Growth: 19.8%)
$699.84
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.8%)
$553.22
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 19.8%)
$470.24
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.46 | Forward EPS (Implied): $12.56
Bull Case
$537.92
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case
$445.48
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$340.79
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.6 to 27.6
Stabilization Target:
$407.96
(+0.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vincent Roche
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-01
Richard McCormick
SELL
2026-03-19
Michael Sondel
SELL
4199 shares
2026-02-25
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