ADI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADI - Analog Devices, Inc.
$386.01
-9.64 (-2.44%)
▼
5d:
-0.73%
30d:
-1.7%
90d:
+10.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ADI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$644.31
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$400.06
3.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADI is currently trading at $386.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $386.74 to $421.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.1) is in line with its historical norms (27.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $371.09, while resistance sits at $401.81.
Market Sentiment: ADI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $453.67 (+17.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $371.09, while resistance sits at $401.81.
Market Sentiment: ADI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $453.67 (+17.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$386.74 -
$421.57
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ADI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($453.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$386.74 -
$421.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$371.09
Resistance Level
$401.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.11
Wall Street Target
$453.67
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.5%
Profit Margin
26.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.1 vs 27.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$379.45
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$373.00
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$366.66
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→28)
$386.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.1, Growth: 19.8%)
$663.33
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.8%)
$553.22
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 19.8%)
$470.24
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 27.03 | Forward EPS (Implied): $14.28
Bull Case
$466.11
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case
$386.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case
$295.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.1 to 27.5
Stabilization Target:
$406.49
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vincent Roche
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-01
Richard McCormick
SELL
2026-03-19
Michael Sondel
SELL
4199 shares
2026-02-25
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