HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSAI - Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
$14.80
-0.22 (-1.46%)
▼
5d:
-12.37%
30d:
-28.26%
90d:
-23.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HSAI is down 12.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HSAI is down 12.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.20
52.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $14.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.68 to $20.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.4) compared to its historical average (4.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.28 (+104.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.28 (+104.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.68 -
$20.78
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HSAI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 104.6% below Wall St target ($30.28)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.68 -
$20.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.86
Resistance Level
$22.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.41
Wall Street Target
$30.28
(+104.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.9%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.4 vs 4.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.32
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.99
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.79
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→4)
$18.81
(+27%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.4%)
$451.61
(+2951%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.4, Growth: 56.4%)
$49.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.0, Growth: 56.4%)
$42.46
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case
$33.04
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case
$30.04
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$10.21
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.4 to 4.2
Stabilization Target:
$25.80
(+74.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+74.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 28, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HSAI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HSAI price and gamma walls.
