HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSAI - Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
$16.15
-1.32 (-7.56%)
▼
5d:
+2.47%
30d:
-20.25%
90d:
-22.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.46
47.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $16.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.05 to $19.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.6) compared to its historical average (4.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.30 (+87.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.30 (+87.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.05 -
$19.49
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 87.6% below Wall St target ($30.30)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.05 -
$19.49
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.86
Resistance Level
$22.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.63
Wall Street Target
$30.30
(+87.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.9%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.6 vs 4.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.53
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.08
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.77
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$18.36
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.4%)
$451.61
(+2696%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.6, Growth: 56.4%)
$54.51
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.2, Growth: 56.4%)
$46.33
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case
$38.43
(+138%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case
$34.94
(+116%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.2
Bear Case
$11.88
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.6 to 4.1
Stabilization Target:
$25.19
(+56.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 07, 2026 7:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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