HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSAI - Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
$13.08
1.01 (8.37%)
▲
5d:
-5.42%
30d:
-19.61%
90d:
-26.31%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HSAI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HSAI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.04
45.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $13.08, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.74 to $15.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.4) compared to its historical average (3.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.00, while resistance sits at $14.34. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: HSAI scores 89/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.66 (+96.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.00, while resistance sits at $14.34. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: HSAI scores 89/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.66 (+96.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.74 -
$15.57
Company Quality Score
73/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (89/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 96.2% below Wall St target ($25.66)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 89/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.74 -
$15.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.00
Resistance Level
$14.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.37
Wall Street Target
$25.66
(+96.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.4 vs 3.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.59
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.54
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→4)
$14.50
(+11%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 67.7%)
$370.24
(+2731%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.4, Growth: 67.7%)
$44.14
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.0, Growth: 67.7%)
$37.52
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case
$26.55
(+103%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case
$24.14
(+85%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.7
Bear Case
$8.21
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.4 to 3.6
Stabilization Target:
$19.89
(+52.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 04, 2026 7:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HSAI price and gamma walls.
