PSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSN - Parsons Corporation
$49.00
-0.28 (-0.57%)
▼
5d:
-0.1%
30d:
+13.5%
90d:
-17.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.81
27.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSN is currently trading at $49.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.74 to $55.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PSN scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.36 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PSN scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.36 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.74 -
$55.93
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($59.36)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.74 -
$55.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.19
Resistance Level
$49.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.33
Wall Street Target
$59.36
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.9%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 16.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.84
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$44.78
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$42.81
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$49.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 40.4%)
$189.97
(+288%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 40.4%)
$135.65
(+177%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 40.4%)
$115.30
(+135%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.45
Bull Case
$108.42
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.4
Base Case
$98.56
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.0
Bear Case
$33.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 16.4
Stabilization Target:
$56.08
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 30, 2026 10:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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