Amcor plc Ordinary Shares (AMCR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCR - Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
$43.74
1.46 (3.45%)
▲
5d:
+4.44%
30d:
+4.22%
90d:
-0.46%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMCR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMCR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
AMCR is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; AMCR has been on it 2 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-15.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.35
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.30
1.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $43.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.65 to $43.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMCR scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.76 (+13.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMCR scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.76 (+13.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$41.65 -
$43.00
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
34.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMCR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($49.76)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 25.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.65 -
$43.00
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.79
Resistance Level
$44.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.22
Wall Street Target
$49.76
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.7%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.91
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$44.09
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$44.27
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.73
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.3%)
$85.41
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 17.3%)
$43.97
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 17.3%)
$37.37
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.38
Bull Case
$83.60
(+91%)
Analyst growth 79.8%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$76.00
(+74%)
Market implied 79.8%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$28.75
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 15, 2026 11:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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