AMCR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCR - Amcor plc Ordinary Shares
$37.88
-0.53 (-1.38%)
▼
5d:
-4.51%
30d:
+2.63%
90d:
-17.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMCR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMCR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.08
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCR is currently trading at $37.88, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.47 to $39.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $36.25, while resistance sits at $39.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.21 (+27.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $36.25, while resistance sits at $39.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.21 (+27.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$37.47 -
$39.49
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.3% below Wall St target ($48.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.47 -
$39.49
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.25
Resistance Level
$39.99
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.83
Wall Street Target
$48.21
(+27.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.7%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 10.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.29
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$34.76
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$33.30
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$37.70
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.8%)
$117.81
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$47.51
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 7.8%)
$40.38
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case
$87.27
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$79.34
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.7
Bear Case
$26.98
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$42.88
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 11:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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