CCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCK - Crown Holdings Inc.
$94.50
-1.24 (-1.30%)
▼
5d:
-3.62%
30d:
-4.59%
90d:
-15.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.17
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCK is currently trading at $94.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.02 to $101.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.00 (+32.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.00 (+32.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$97.02 -
$101.70
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.3% below Wall St target ($125.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$97.02 -
$101.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.62
Resistance Level
$99.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.69
Wall Street Target
$125.00
(+32.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 12.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.00
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$87.64
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$84.39
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$94.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$250.50
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 9.0%)
$122.28
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$103.94
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.29
Bull Case
$151.51
(+55%)
Analyst growth 40.5%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$137.74
(+41%)
Market implied 40.5%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$66.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$106.03
(+12.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 11:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-15
Timothy J Donahue
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-08
Djalma Novaes Jr
SELL
29734 shares
2026-02-23
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