REYN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REYN - Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. Common Stock
$21.54
-0.03 (-0.14%)
▼
5d:
-2.31%
30d:
+4.06%
90d:
-7.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REYN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REYN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.20
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REYN is currently trading at $21.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.04 to $21.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 89.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.14 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.14 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.04 -
$21.88
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.04 -
$21.88
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.00
Resistance Level
$22.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.74
Wall Street Target
$25.14
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.9%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 13.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.26
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$20.98
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$20.71
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$21.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 5.6%)
$43.58
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 5.6%)
$25.35
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 5.6%)
$21.55
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.56
Bull Case
$26.28
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$23.89
(+8%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$14.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$22.31
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 11:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REYN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rolf Stangl
BUY
4705 shares
2026-03-18
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