IP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IP - International Paper Co.
$33.40
-0.43 (-1.27%)
▼
5d:
+3.02%
30d:
+7.05%
90d:
-21.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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1 traders called IP this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.24
30.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IP is currently trading at $33.40, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.98 to $33.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.36 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.36 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$30.98 -
$33.45
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.36)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.98 -
$33.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.26
Resistance Level
$34.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.47
Wall Street Target
$39.36
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.1%
Profit Margin
-13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.50
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$29.70
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$28.01
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$33.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 93.5%)
$197.99
(+493%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 93.5%)
$112.72
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 93.5%)
$95.82
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$39.89
(+19.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 11:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Anders Gustafsson
BUY
13217 shares
2026-03-12
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IP price and gamma walls.
