MasTec (MTZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$187.34
-3.57 (-1.87%)
▼
5d:
-9.11%
30d:
-15.95%
90d:
-47.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$602.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$374.30
49.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $187.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.40 to $230.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (27.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $183.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTZ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $381.80 (+103.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $183.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTZ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $381.80 (+103.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$205.40 -
$230.42
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 103.8% below Wall St target ($381.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$205.40 -
$230.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$183.20
Resistance Level
$224.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.13
Wall Street Target
$381.80
(+103.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.4%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 27.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.61
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$151.75
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$136.57
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→28)
$251.84
(+34%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 33.4%)
$583.42
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 33.4%)
$444.46
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 33.4%)
$377.79
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.27
Bull Case
$414.71
(+121%)
Analyst growth 97.5%, PE expands to 33.5
Base Case
$377.01
(+101%)
Market implied 97.5%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$129.82
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 27.9
Stabilization Target:
$345.46
(+84.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+84.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 8:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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