MTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$266.26
-5.60 (-2.06%)
▼
5d:
-10.53%
30d:
-25.8%
90d:
-31.51%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When MTZ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MTZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$607.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$377.46
29.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $266.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $268.41 to $341.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (30.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $262.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTZ scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $422.00 (+58.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $262.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTZ scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $422.00 (+58.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$268.41 -
$341.52
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.5% below Wall St target ($422.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$268.41 -
$341.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$262.14
Resistance Level
$311.08
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.32
Wall Street Target
$422.00
(+58.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.4%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 30.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$239.63
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$215.67
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$194.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→30)
$275.81
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: 34.1%)
$641.85
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 34.1%)
$604.12
(+127%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 34.1%)
$513.50
(+93%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.28
Bull Case
$594.60
(+123%)
Analyst growth 98.8%, PE expands to 47.6
Base Case
$540.55
(+103%)
Market implied 98.8%, PE stable at 43.3
Bear Case
$184.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 30.3
Stabilization Target:
$378.35
(+42.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Javier Alberto Palomarez
SELL
950 shares
2026-03-25
Ernst N Csiszar
SELL
6500 shares
2026-03-03
Top Rated Engineering & Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Engineering & Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PWR
Quanta Services Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$770 | 47 HOLD |
|
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc. |
BUY
17 analysts |
$163 | 48 HOLD |
|
DY
Dycom Industries Inc |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$637 | 51 HOLD |
|
ACM
Aecom Technology Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$87 | 43 HOLD |
|
PRIM
Primoris Services Corpor… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$120 | 44 HOLD |
